Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.452683 0.525369 0.605357 0.699828 0.808269 0.928769 1.072743
2025-05-11 0.331585 0.429630 0.549086 0.704932 0.902462 1.144042 1.461459
2025-05-18 0.262551 0.368362 0.507068 0.701345 0.965472 1.310977 1.796032
2025-05-25 0.214613 0.321597 0.470554 0.691691 1.009997 1.449661 2.100709
2025-06-01 0.180841 0.287055 0.442920 0.686290 1.054290 1.586904 2.412369
2025-06-08 0.150704 0.252171 0.408383 0.663748 1.067478 1.676911 2.660852
2025-06-15 0.140563 0.246342 0.416169 0.705119 1.179961 1.923285 3.166430
2025-06-22 0.119841 0.219821 0.387089 0.683046 1.188096 2.007140 3.424474
2025-06-29 0.102963 0.197196 0.361110 0.662024 1.194028 2.085761 3.678768
2025-07-06 0.089585 0.178759 0.339703 0.645635 1.204831 2.171644 3.950971
2025-07-13 0.082408 0.170758 0.335698 0.659372 1.269226 2.353736 4.404264
2025-07-20 0.078668 0.168816 0.342468 0.693410 1.373389 2.614279 5.019222
2025-07-27 0.073142 0.162755 0.341063 0.712514 1.453222 2.841272 5.600374
2025-08-03 0.066797 0.154141 0.333653 0.719099 1.510001 3.031606 6.132871
2025-08-10 0.060266 0.144126 0.322038 0.715509 1.545684 3.184201 6.605845
2025-08-17 0.054000 0.133754 0.308305 0.705672 1.567164 3.310311 7.037310
2025-08-24 0.048843 0.125159 0.297277 0.700167 1.596717 3.454517 7.517172
2025-08-31 0.043022 0.114102 0.279355 0.677190 1.586027 3.514833 7.829034
2025-09-07 0.042249 0.115344 0.289674 0.719359 1.722734 3.895056 8.846126
2025-09-14 0.037439 0.105635 0.273056 0.696860 1.711335 3.957598 9.186601
2025-09-21 0.033251 0.096908 0.257686 0.675433 1.699897 4.018477 9.527947
2025-09-28 0.029788 0.089598 0.244891 0.658727 1.697649 4.099175 9.919980
2025-10-05 0.028186 0.087224 0.244362 0.672729 1.770901 4.357747 10.739498